Pablo Carreno Busta vs David Ferrer — Estoril Semi-final

Estoril · ATP · Semi-final
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP1
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 May 2017
clay
ESP4
David Ferrer
44 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Carreno Busta P.
6-3 6-3
Ferrer D.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Ferrer D.
330

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated David Ferrer 6-3 6-3 in the Estoril semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — David Ferrer came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, but Pablo Carreno Busta had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 5 on clay. Pablo Carreno Busta narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-01-07AucklandR16hardPablo Carreno Busta1-1 RET
2017-08-14Cincinnati MastersR16hardDavid Ferrer6-4 6-4
2014-06-23WimbledonR128grassDavid Ferrer6-0 6-7(3) 6-1 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ferrer D.

Ferrer D.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Ferrer D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Ferrer D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
84
Break points saved·Even
97
95
Break points won·Clear edge
61
73
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Ferrer D.
Freshness·
94
—

Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Carreno Busta P.[1]
Muller G.[3]
6-27-65
Semi-finals
Muller G.[3]
Anderson K.
7-56-4
Carreno Busta P.[1]
Ferrer D.[4]
6-36-3
Quarter-finals
Anderson K.
Gasquet R.[2]
6-23-67-64
Ferrer D.[4]
Harrison R.
6-46-0
Carreno Busta P.[1]
Almagro N.
6-26-4
Muller G.[3]
Daniel T.
5-76-26-3
R16
Anderson K.
Domingues J.
5-76-37-5
Gasquet R.[2]
Berlocq C.
6-16-4
Muller G.[3]
Sousa P.
6-36-2
Daniel T.
Fratangelo B.
6-46-4
Ferrer D.[4]
Ferreira Silva F.
6-36-4
Carreno Busta P.[1]
Robredo T.
7-657-5
Harrison R.
del Potro J.[5]
W/O
Almagro N.
Elias G.
6-16-2
R32
Berlocq C.
Ymer E.
7-56-4
Anderson K.
Caruso S.
6-26-3
Daniel T.
Olivo R.
7-624-67-5
Fratangelo B.
Sousa J.[6]
6-36-4
del Potro J.[5]
Sugita Y.
6-16-3
Harrison R.
Garcia Lopez G.
6-32-66-2
Elias G.
Jaziri M.
6-43-66-3
Robredo T.
Donskoy E.
6-36-2
Sousa P.
Mathieu P.
3-66-40-0
Ferreira Silva F.
Istomin D.
6-26-2
Almagro N.
Paire B.[8]
6-36-2
Domingues J.
Edmund K.[7]
6-43-67-62