Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo CuevasIndian Wells Masters Quarter-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2017
hard
40 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLLW
Carreno Busta P.
6-1 3-6 7-6
Cuevas P.
Carreno Busta P.
63772
Cuevas P.
16641

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Pablo Cuevas 6-1 3-6 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Cuevas came in leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 64. Pablo Carreno Busta narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Pablo Carreno Busta came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2017-02-27Sao PauloSFclayPablo Cuevas6-3 7-6(2)
2016-08-22Winston-SalemR16hardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 7-6(1)
2016-02-22Sao PauloFclayPablo Cuevas7-6(4) 6-3
2015-10-26ValenciaR32hardPablo Cuevas6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Cuevas P.

Cuevas P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Cuevas P.
21
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
58
Break points saved·Even
97
93
Break points won·Dominant
61
32
Deciding sets·Even
80
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 20%