Kristina Mladenovic vs Heather Watson — Acapulco Round of 16

Acapulco · WTA · Round of 16
Kristina Mladenovic
FRA2
Kristina Mladenovic
#841WTA
1422ELO
1408Hard ELO
33 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2017
hard
Heather Watson
GBR
Heather Watson
#470WTA
1572ELO
1548Hard ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
Mladenovic K.
7-6 6-7 7-5
Watson H.
Mladenovic K.
776572
Watson H.
647751

Kristina Mladenovic defeated Heather Watson 7-6 6-7 7-5 in the Acapulco round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Heather Watson came in ranked #470, defending last year's round of 32. Kristina Mladenovic extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-06-25EastbourneR64grassKristina Mladenovic6-7(2) 7-5 6-3
2014-07-21BakuR32hardKristina Mladenovic6-2 3-6 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Mladenovic K.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Watson H.

Watson H.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mladenovic K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Mladenovic K.Watson H.
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
44%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.6
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mladenovic K.Watson H.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
27
20
Break points saved·Clear edge
26
43
Break points won·Slight edge
69
62
Deciding sets·Even
48
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
65
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Mladenovic K.Watson H.
Freshness·
—
100

Watson H.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Tsurenko L.[7]
Mladenovic K.[2]
6-17-5
Semi-finals
Tsurenko L.[7]
Lucic M.[1]
5-0
Mladenovic K.[2]
Mchale C.[5]
7-54-66-2
Quarter-finals
Mladenovic K.[2]
Flipkens K.
6-46-3
Mchale C.[5]
Puig M.[4]
6-26-2
Tsurenko L.[7]
Ostapenko J.[3]
6-37-65
Lucic M.[1]
Parmentier P.
6-26-3
R16
Flipkens K.
Tomljanovic A.
7-50-0
Ostapenko J.[3]
Brengle M.
7-56-4
Parmentier P.
Petkovic A.[8]
6-43-66-1
Lucic M.[1]
Rogers S.
6-46-4
Tsurenko L.[7]
Goerges J.
6-12-0
Mladenovic K.[2]
Watson H.
7-646-757-5
Puig M.[4]
Hantuchova D.
6-46-4
Mchale C.[5]
Townsend T.
6-17-65
R32
Mladenovic K.[2]
Lepchenko V.
6-26-3
Watson H.
Mattek Sands B.
7-56-3
Flipkens K.
Zarazua R.
7-56-716-1
Tomljanovic A.
Bouchard E.[6]
7-646-1
Puig M.[4]
Schiavone F.
6-47-64
Hantuchova D.
Wickmayer Y.
4-66-36-2
Tsurenko L.[7]
Paquet C.
6-26-1
Goerges J.
Bondarenko K.
2-66-46-3
Brengle M.
Beck A.
4-66-36-2
Ostapenko J.[3]
Kovinic D.
6-26-2
Petkovic A.[8]
Loeb J.
2-66-16-3
Parmentier P.
Gibbs N.
7-56-766-2
Rogers S.
Chirico L.
6-26-2
Lucic M.[1]
Bencic B.
7-56-4
Mchale C.[5]
Ferro F.
6-46-4
Townsend T.
Brady J.
7-57-64