Reilly Opelka vs Casper Ruud — Australian Open Qualifying Final

Australian Open · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
Reilly Opelka
USA
Reilly Opelka
#131ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2017
hard
Casper Ruud
NOR
Casper Ruud
#13ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Opelka R.
7-6 6-3
Ruud C.
Opelka R.
7762
Ruud C.
623–

Reilly Opelka defeated Casper Ruud 7-6 6-3 in the Australian Open qualifying final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Reilly Opelka narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Reilly Opelka closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

1–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-19Laver CupRRhardCasper Ruud6-4 7-6(4)
2022-05-16GenevaSFclayCasper Ruud7-6(2) 7-5
2021-09-24Laver CupRRhardCasper Ruud6-3 7-6(4)
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-7(5) 6-0 7-6(4)
2019-04-08HoustonR16clayCasper Ruud4-6 6-4 6-4
2017-01-16Australian OpenQ3hardReilly Opelka7-6(2) 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving96% hold

wins 77% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Ruud C.
86
Serve
59
0
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Opelka R.Ruud C.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
70%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
37%
Break points saved·Even
70%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.5
5.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Opelka R.Ruud C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
1
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Opelka R.Ruud C.
Freshness·
—
98

Ruud C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q3
Lacko L.
Kudla D.
6-26-2
Fabbiano T.
Ghem A.
6-47-64
Dodig I.
Wu D.
6-17-5
Escobedo E.
Bhambri Y.
6-726-26-4
Fratangelo B.
Moriya H.
4-66-46-4
Rubin N.
Donskoy E.
6-26-4
Vanni L.
Satral J.
4-66-46-4
Melzer J.
Ram R.
6-23-66-3
Mott B.
Mcgee J.
7-653-66-3
Bolt A.
Benneteau J.
6-37-5
Opelka R.
Ruud C.
7-626-3
Bublik A.
Lee D.
4-66-46-4
Rublev A.
Polansky P.
6-44-66-3
Soeda G.
Trungelliti M.
6-23-66-4
Tiafoe F.
Smyczek T.
3-66-07-5
Stepanek R.
Smith J.
6-26-4
Q2
Rubin N.
Carballes Baena R.
6-43-66-2
Satral J.
Uchiyama Y.
7-661-69-7
Vanni L.
Sarkissian A.
3-66-36-2
Melzer J.
Daniel T.
6-36-2
Ram R.
Arevalo M.
6-14-68-6
Mott B.
Kamke T.
6-26-4
Mcgee J.
Millot V.
6-26-4
Bolt A.
Bachinger M.
6-47-65
Benneteau J.
Clezar G.
7-56-0
Opelka R.
Krueger M.
6-37-62
Ruud C.
Eysseric J.
6-33-66-3
Moriya H.
Ignatik U.
4-66-26-3
Bhambri Y.
Krstin P.
6-36-4
Escobedo E.
Ito T.
6-16-3
Wu D.
Zekic M.
6-46-2
Dodig I.
Djere L.
6-31-66-2
Ghem A.
Kibi Y.
2-66-36-1
Fabbiano T.
Santillan A.
4-66-46-2
Lacko L.
Gonzalez M.
4-66-26-2
Kudla D.
King D.
4-66-46-4
Polansky P.
Basic M.
6-46-3
Rublev A.
Sugita Y.
6-47-62
Soeda G.
Menendez Maceiras A.
3-66-47-5
Trungelliti M.
Gojowczyk P.
5-0
Smyczek T.
Safwat M.
6-46-3
Tiafoe F.
Reuter Y.
6-46-0
Smith J.
De Schepper K.
6-46-3
Stepanek R.
Kavcic B.
6-36-748-6
Lee D.
Mousley B.
6-756-06-2
Bublik A.
Coppejans K.
6-726-46-2
Fratangelo B.
Tsitsipas S.
4-66-16-3
Donskoy E.
Ebden M.
7-634-66-2
Q1
Kavcic B.
Donati M.
6-23-3
Stepanek R.
Bangoura S.
6-36-726-2
Ruud C.
Gabashvili T.
6-46-4
Eysseric J.
Bourgue M.
1-66-36-2
Opelka R.
Napolitano S.
7-56-3
Krueger M.
Chiudinelli M.
1-66-46-3
Benneteau J.
Milojevic N.
6-36-3
Clezar G.
Mesaros K.
6-26-1
Bachinger M.
Skugor F.
7-666-3
Bolt A.
Copil M.
6-726-46-4
Millot V.
Bellotti R.
6-36-1
Mcgee J.
Pecotic M.
7-637-5
Mott B.
Kudryavtsev A.
6-16-2
Kamke T.
Novikov D.
7-656-4
Ram R.
Ivashka I.
6-46-4
Arevalo M.
Jones S.
6-26-2
Melzer J.
De Loore J.
6-23-66-3
Daniel T.
Setkic A.
7-56-4
Sarkissian A.
Laaksonen H.
6-46-1
Vanni L.
Gaio F.
5-76-26-3
Uchiyama Y.
Tepavac M.
6-47-62
Satral J.
Giannessi A.
7-667-64
Carballes Baena R.
Matosevic M.
6-46-2
Rubin N.
Stebe C.
5-76-46-4
Ebden M.
Golubev A.
6-16-2
Donskoy E.
Popko D.
3-66-19-7
Kudla D.
Saville L.
6-47-5
King D.
Hernandez J.
6-26-2
Gonzalez M.
Lopez Perez E.
7-647-64
Lacko L.
Jahn J.
6-26-3
Fabbiano T.
Klahn B.
6-46-736-3
Santillan A.
Ymer E.
6-37-64
Kibi Y.
Baker B.
6-37-64
Ghem A.
Souza J.
6-25-78-6
Djere L.
Martin A.
6-06-2
Dodig I.
Weintraub A.
6-26-2
Wu D.
Banes M.
6-16-1
Zekic M.
Becker B.
6-45-710-8
Escobedo E.
Marterer M.
7-657-5
Ito T.
Masur D.
6-47-65
Krstin P.
Kolar Z.
3-66-17-5
Bhambri Y.
Kozlov S.
6-16-4
Ignatik U.
Pospisil V.
3-66-36-4
Moriya H.
Bourchier H.
6-26-3
Tsitsipas S.
Van Peperzeel G.
6-26-1
Fratangelo B.
Zemlja G.
6-47-63
Bublik A.
De Greef A.
5-76-38-6
Coppejans K.
Sandgren T.
6-17-65
Mousley B.
Fucsovics M.
3-66-06-4
Lee D.
Kicker N.
5-77-56-1
Polansky P.
Lamasine T.
6-26-4
Basic M.
Giustino L.
3-66-36-2
Rublev A.
Purcell M.
6-46-766-1
Sugita Y.
Polmans M.
6-16-1
Soeda G.
Bemelmans R.
7-6106-3
Menendez Maceiras A.
Brands D.
3-67-676-4
Gojowczyk P.
Myneni S.
6-06-2
Trungelliti M.
Kovalik J.
6-36-3
Smyczek T.
Samper Montana J.
6-36-3
Safwat M.
Sousa P.
7-626-4
Reuter Y.
Diez S.
6-32-66-4
Tiafoe F.
Cecchinato M.
6-35-77-5
De Schepper K.
Gombos N.
6-45-79-7
Smith J.
Velotti A.
7-666-3