Denis Istomin vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Australian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 32
UZB
Denis Istomin
39 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLLL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2017
hard
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP30
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Istomin D.
6-4 4-6 6-4 4-6 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Istomin D.
646463
Carreno Busta P.
464622

Denis Istomin defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-4 4-6 6-4 4-6 6-2 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 128. Denis Istomin claimed a first win over Pablo Carreno Busta in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Denis Istomin closed it out in five sets, 6–4 4–6 6–4 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-03-19Miami MastersR64hardPablo Carreno Busta6-1 6-0
2016-04-18BarcelonaR64clayPablo Carreno Busta7-5 7-5
2016-04-04MarrakechR16clayPablo Carreno Busta6-3 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Istomin D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Istomin D.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Istomin D.Carreno Busta P.
—
Serve
21
—
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Istomin D.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Istomin D.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
29
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
97
Break points won·Dominant
5
61
Deciding sets·Dominant
44
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
18
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Istomin D.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·
—
92

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 45%
Final
Federer R.[17]
Nadal R.[9]
6-43-66-13-66-3
Semi-finals
Nadal R.[9]
Dimitrov G.[15]
6-35-77-656-746-4
Federer R.[17]
Wawrinka S.[4]
7-56-31-64-66-3
Quarter-finals
Federer R.[17]
Zverev M.
6-17-56-2
Wawrinka S.[4]
Tsonga J.[12]
7-626-46-3
Nadal R.[9]
Raonic M.[3]
6-47-676-4
Dimitrov G.[15]
Goffin D.[11]
6-36-26-4
R16
Zverev M.
Murray A.[1]
7-55-76-26-4
Federer R.[17]
Nishikori K.[5]
6-746-46-14-66-3
Tsonga J.[12]
Evans D.
6-746-26-46-4
Nadal R.[9]
Monfils G.[6]
6-36-34-66-4
Raonic M.[3]
Bautista Agut R.[13]
7-663-66-46-1
Goffin D.[11]
Thiem D.[8]
5-77-646-26-2
Dimitrov G.[15]
Istomin D.
2-67-626-26-1
Wawrinka S.[4]
Seppi A.
7-627-647-64
R32
Murray A.[1]
Querrey S.[31]
6-46-26-4
Zverev M.
Jaziri M.
6-14-66-36-0
Federer R.[17]
Berdych T.[10]
6-26-46-4
Nishikori K.[5]
Lacko L.
6-46-46-4
Wawrinka S.[4]
Troicki V.[29]
3-66-26-27-67
Seppi A.
Darcis S.
4-66-47-617-62
Tsonga J.[12]
Sock J.[23]
7-647-56-786-3
Monfils G.[6]
Kohlschreiber P.[32]
6-37-616-4
Nadal R.[9]
Zverev A.[24]
4-66-36-756-36-2
Bautista Agut R.[13]
Ferrer D.[21]
7-56-767-636-4
Raonic M.[3]
Simon G.[25]
6-27-653-66-3
Thiem D.[8]
Paire B.
6-14-66-46-4
Goffin D.[11]
Karlovic I.[20]
6-36-26-4
Dimitrov G.[15]
Gasquet R.[18]
6-36-26-4
Istomin D.
Carreno Busta P.[30]
6-44-66-44-66-2
Evans D.
Tomic B.[27]
7-57-627-63
R64
Murray A.[1]
Rublev A.
6-36-06-2
Zverev M.
Isner J.[19]
6-746-746-47-679-7
Jaziri M.
Bublik A.
6-26-37-5
Berdych T.[10]
Harrison R.
6-37-666-2
Federer R.[17]
Rubin N.
7-56-37-63
Lacko L.
Sela D.
2-66-36-26-4
Nishikori K.[5]
Chardy J.
6-36-46-3
Wawrinka S.[4]
Johnson S.
6-36-46-4
Troicki V.[29]
Lorenzi P.
6-31-67-633-66-3
Darcis S.
Schwartzman D.
6-36-32-66-4
Seppi A.
Kyrgios N.[14]
1-66-716-46-210-8
Tsonga J.[12]
Lajovic D.
6-26-26-3
Sock J.[23]
Khachanov K.
6-36-46-4
Tomic B.[27]
Estrella V.
7-57-644-67-65
Evans D.
Cilic M.[7]
3-67-56-36-3
Monfils G.[6]
Dolgopolov A.
6-36-41-66-0
Kohlschreiber P.[32]
Young D.
7-56-36-0
Zverev A.[24]
Tiafoe F.
6-26-36-4
Nadal R.[9]
Baghdatis M.
6-36-16-3
Bautista Agut R.[13]
Nishioka Y.
6-26-36-3
Ferrer D.[21]
Escobedo E.
2-66-46-46-2
Simon G.[25]
Dutra Silva R.
6-46-16-1
Raonic M.[3]
Muller G.
6-36-47-64
Thiem D.[8]
Thompson J.
6-26-16-766-4
Paire B.
Fognini F.
7-634-66-33-66-3
Karlovic I.[20]
Whittington A.
6-46-46-4
Goffin D.[11]
Stepanek R.
6-46-06-3
Dimitrov G.[15]
Chung H.
1-66-46-46-4
Gasquet R.[18]
Berlocq C.
6-16-16-1
Carreno Busta P.[30]
Edmund K.
6-26-46-2
Istomin D.
Djokovic N.[2]
7-685-72-67-656-4
Querrey S.[31]
De Minaur A.
7-656-06-1
R128
Murray A.[1]
Marchenko I.
7-57-656-2
Rublev A.
Lu Y.
4-66-37-606-3
De Minaur A.
Melzer G.
5-76-32-67-626-1
Querrey S.[31]
Halys Q.
6-7107-646-36-4
Isner J.[19]
Kravchuk K.
6-36-46-756-1
Zverev M.
Garcia Lopez G.
6-37-656-4
Jaziri M.
Soeda G.
6-36-46-3
Bublik A.
Pouille L.[16]
6-03-66-36-4
Harrison R.
Mahut N.
6-36-46-2
Rubin N.
Fratangelo B.
6-747-53-66-26-2
Federer R.[17]
Melzer J.
7-53-66-26-2
Lacko L.
Ramos A.[26]
4-67-51-66-46-3
Sela D.
Granollers M.
5-76-36-26-0
Nishikori K.[5]
Kuznetsov A.
5-76-16-46-766-2
Wawrinka S.[4]
Klizan M.
4-66-47-54-66-4
Johnson S.
Delbonis F.
6-36-46-4
Lorenzi P.
Duckworth J.
6-47-646-746-4
Troicki V.[29]
Dzumhur D.
6-46-42-62-66-3
Schwartzman D.
Cuevas P.[22]
6-36-36-0
Darcis S.
Groth S.
3-66-36-26-2
Seppi A.
Mathieu P.
6-47-646-737-5
Kyrgios N.[14]
Elias G.
6-16-26-2
Tsonga J.[12]
Monteiro T.
6-16-36-756-2
Lajovic D.
Robert S.
6-36-36-3
Khachanov K.
Mannarino A.
6-43-67-696-3
Sock J.[23]
Herbert P.
6-47-646-3
Tomic B.[27]
Bellucci T.
6-26-16-4
Estrella V.
Bedene A.
7-677-50-66-3
Evans D.
Bagnis F.
7-686-36-1
Cilic M.[7]
Janowicz J.
4-64-66-26-26-3
Monfils G.[6]
Vesely J.
6-26-36-2
Dolgopolov A.
Coric B.
6-36-43-67-67
Young D.
Fabbiano T.
6-47-616-4
Kohlschreiber P.[32]
Basilashvili N.
6-43-67-626-4
Nadal R.[9]
Mayer F.
6-36-46-4
Bautista Agut R.[13]
Pella G.
6-36-16-1
Nishioka Y.
Bolt A.
6-41-66-26-4
Escobedo E.
Medvedev D.
7-54-67-656-1
Simon G.[25]
Mmoh M.
6-16-36-3
Dutra Silva R.
Donaldson J.
3-60-66-16-46-4
Muller G.
Fritz T.
7-667-656-3
Raonic M.[3]
Brown D.
6-36-46-2
Thiem D.[8]
Struff J.
4-66-46-46-3
Thompson J.
Sousa J.
6-724-66-36-26-1
Fognini F.
Lopez F.[28]
7-56-37-5
Karlovic I.[20]
Zeballos H.
6-763-67-56-222-20
Whittington A.
Pavlasek A.
6-44-66-26-3
Stepanek R.
Tursunov D.
6-27-616-3
Goffin D.[11]
Opelka R.
6-44-66-24-66-4
Dimitrov G.[15]
Oconnell C.
7-626-36-3
Chung H.
Olivo R.
6-26-36-2
Berlocq C.
Albot R.
6-47-645-77-68
Gasquet R.[18]
Mott B.
6-46-46-2
Edmund K.
Giraldo S.
6-27-56-3
Istomin D.
Dodig I.
6-16-43-67-5
Djokovic N.[2]
Verdasco F.
6-17-646-2
Berdych T.[10]
Vanni L.
6-1
Chardy J.
Almagro N.
4-0
Zverev A.[24]
Haase R.
6-23-65-76-36-2
Tiafoe F.
Kukushkin M.
6-16-736-36-2
Baghdatis M.
Youzhny M.
6-33-0
Paire B.
Haas T.
7-626-4
Carreno Busta P.[30]
Polansky P.
6-03-63-66-23-0
Ferrer D.[21]
Jasika O.
6-36-06-2