Reilly Opelka vs Casper RuudAustralian Open Q32

Australian Open · ATP · Q32
#135ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$6.2MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 14 January 2017 ·
hard
#13ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLW
Opelka R.
7-6 6-3
Ruud C.
Opelka R.
7762
Ruud C.
6230

Reilly Opelka defeated Casper Ruud 7-6 6-3 in the Australian Open q32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Reilly Opelka narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Reilly Opelka closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-19Laver CupRRhardCasper Ruud6-4 7-6
2022-05-16GenevaSFclayCasper Ruud7-6 7-5
2021-09-24Laver CupRRhardCasper Ruud6-3 7-6
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-7 6-0 7-6
2019-04-08HoustonR16clayCasper Ruud4-6 6-4 6-4
2017-01-16Australian OpenQ3hardReilly Opelka7-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
70%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
37%
Break points saved·Even
70%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.7
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
84
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
0
60
Deciding sets·Clear edge
87
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Ruud C.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw