Milos Raonic vs Rafael Nadal — Brisbane Quarter-final

Brisbane · ATP · Quarter-final
CAN1
Milos Raonic
35 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2017
hard
ESP5
Rafael Nadal
40 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
Raonic M.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Nadal R.
Raonic M.
4662
Nadal R.
6341

Milos Raonic defeated Rafael Nadal 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Brisbane quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 8–1. Milos Raonic narrowed the head-to-head to 8–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–8
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-09-20Laver CupRRhardRafael Nadal6-3 7-6(1)
2017-01-16Australian OpenQFhardRafael Nadal6-4 7-6(7) 6-4
2015-10-11Shanghai MastersR16hardRafael Nadal6-3 7-6(3)
2015-03-12Indian Wells MastersQFhardMilos Raonic4-6 7-6(10) 7-5
2014-03-19Miami MastersQFhardRafael Nadal4-6 6-2 6-4
2013-08-05Canada MastersFhardRafael Nadal6-2 6-2
2013-04-22BarcelonaSFclayRafael Nadal6-4 6-0
2011-10-03TokyoR16hardRafael Nadal7-5 6-3
2010-10-04TokyoR16hardRafael Nadal6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Raonic M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nadal R.

Nadal R.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Raonic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Raonic M.Nadal R.
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
82%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
42%
Break points saved·Even
68%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.9
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (185 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Raonic M.Nadal R.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
68
97
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
13
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
100
Tiebreaks·Even
97
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
32°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 56%
Final
Dimitrov G.[7]
Nishikori K.[3]
6-22-66-3
Semi-finals
Dimitrov G.[7]
Raonic M.[1]
7-676-2
Nishikori K.[3]
Wawrinka S.[2]
7-636-3
Quarter-finals
Wawrinka S.[2]
Edmund K.
6-726-46-4
Nishikori K.[3]
Thompson J.
6-16-1
Dimitrov G.[7]
Thiem D.[4]
6-34-66-3
Raonic M.[1]
Nadal R.[5]
4-66-36-4
R16
Wawrinka S.[2]
Troicki V.
7-656-4
Nishikori K.[3]
Donaldson J.
4-66-46-3
Thompson J.
Ferrer D.[8]
4-67-57-5
Dimitrov G.[7]
Mahut N.
6-26-4
Thiem D.[4]
Groth S.
7-656-3
Nadal R.[5]
Zverev M.
6-16-1
Raonic M.[1]
Schwartzman D.
6-36-2
Edmund K.
Pouille L.[6]
6-33-1
R32
Troicki V.
Nishioka Y.
6-47-5
Donaldson J.
Muller G.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Ymer E.
6-36-2
Dimitrov G.[7]
Johnson S.
6-26-3
Mahut N.
Robert S.
4-66-36-4
Groth S.
Herbert P.
6-35-77-5
Nadal R.[5]
Dolgopolov A.
6-36-3
Zverev M.
De Minaur A.
6-36-3
Schwartzman D.
Querrey S.
6-26-4
Ferrer D.[8]
Tomic B.
6-37-5
Edmund K.
Escobedo E.
7-647-66
Pouille L.[6]
Simon G.
7-667-64