Marin Cilic vs Novak DjokovicParis Masters Quarter-final

Paris Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#88ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2016
hard
#7ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Cilic M.
6-4 7-6
Djokovic N.
Cilic M.
6772
Djokovic N.
4620

Marin Cilic defeated Novak Djokovic 6-4 7-6 in the Paris Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 19–1, defending the title. Marin Cilic narrowed the head-to-head to 19–2.

Key context

Head to head

119
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR64hardNovak Djokovic7-6(2) 6-4
2022-09-26Tel AvivFhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4
2021-12-03Davis Cup Finals SF: CRO vs SRBRRhardNovak Djokovic6-4 6-2
2018-11-12Tour FinalsRRhardNovak Djokovic7-6(7) 6-2
2018-10-29Paris MastersQFhardNovak Djokovic4-6 6-2 6-3
2018-08-13Cincinnati MastersSFhardNovak Djokovic6-4 3-6 6-3
2018-06-18Queen's ClubFgrassMarin Cilic5-7 7-6(4) 6-3
2015-08-31US OpenSFhardNovak Djokovic6-0 6-1 6-2
2015-06-29WimbledonQFgrassNovak Djokovic6-4 6-4 6-4
2015-04-12Monte Carlo MastersQFclayNovak Djokovic6-0 6-3
2014-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardNovak Djokovic6-1 6-1
2014-06-23WimbledonQFgrassNovak Djokovic6-1 3-6 6-7(4) 6-2 6-2
2014-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayNovak Djokovic6-3 6-2 6-7(2) 6-4
2014-03-06Indian Wells MastersR16hardNovak Djokovic1-6 6-2 6-3
2012-08-12Cincinnati MastersQFhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-2
2011-08-08Canada MastersR16hardNovak Djokovic7-5 6-2
2010-07-09Davis Cup WG QF: CRO vs SRBRRhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-3 6-2
2009-10-05BeijingFhardNovak Djokovic6-2 7-6(4)
2009-02-23DubaiQFhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4
2008-08-25US OpenR32hardNovak Djokovic6-7(7) 7-5 6-4 7-6(0)

Serve vs return

This season
Cilic M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cilic M.Djokovic N.
57
Serve
68
10
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
56%
Service points won·Even
66%
70%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.6
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
99
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
41
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
87
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
55

Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Djokovic N.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 77%