Maria Sakkari defeated Karolina Muchova 6-4 6-1 in the Sharm El Sheikh $100K quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 5–0. Maria Sakkari claimed a first win over Karolina Muchova in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Doha | SF | hard | Karolina Muchova | 3-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Karolina Muchova | 6-3 2-6 6-3 |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Karolina Muchova | 7-6 7-5 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | R64 | clay | Karolina Muchova | 7-6 7-6 |
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | R16 | clay | Karolina Muchova | 6-0 6-7 7-5 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Sakkari M.: 9 days rest · 5 matches (14d) · Muchova K.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About