Karolina Pliskova vs Daria KasatkinaBeijing Round of 32

Beijing · WTA · Round of 32
#73WTA
1869ELO
1811Hard ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2016
hard
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Pliskova K.
3-6 7-5 7-6
Kasatkina D.
Pliskova K.
37792
Kasatkina D.
65671

Karolina Pliskova defeated Daria Kasatkina 3-6 7-5 7-6 in the Beijing round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Karolina Pliskova narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-26EastbourneR16grassDaria Kasatkina3-6 6-3 6-3
2016-05-09RomeR64clayDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-4
2016-03-07Indian WellsQFhardKarolina Pliskova6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Pliskova K.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pliskova K.Kasatkina D.
Serve
0
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.5
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
80
Break points won·Clear edge
87
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
74
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
90

Pliskova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw