David Goffin vs Marin CilicTokyo Semi-final

Tokyo · ATP · Semi-final
#251ATP
1665ELO
1626Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2016
hard
#88ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Goffin D.
7-5 6-4
Cilic M.
Goffin D.
762
Cilic M.
540

David Goffin defeated Marin Cilic 7-5 6-4 in the Tokyo semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marin Cilic came in ranked #88, leading the head-to-head 6–4, defending last year's quarter-final. David Goffin narrowed the head-to-head to 6–5.

Key context

Head to head

46
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20BaselQ2hardMarin Cilic6-1 7-6(4)
2025-10-20BaselR32hardMarin Cilic7-6(9) 7-5
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR64clayDavid Goffin6-4 3-6 6-0
2020-09-14Rome MastersR32clayMarin Cilic6-2 6-2
2019-10-21BaselR32hardDavid Goffin6-4 6-4
2018-08-27US OpenR16hardMarin Cilic7-6(6) 6-2 6-4
2017-05-15Rome MastersR16clayMarin Cilic6-3 6-4
2016-10-31Paris MastersR16hardMarin Cilic6-3 7-6(9)
2016-03-07Indian Wells MastersQFhardDavid Goffin7-6(4) 6-2
2016-03-04Davis Cup WG R1: CRO vs BELRRclayDavid Goffin6-4 6-4 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Goffin D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Goffin D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Goffin D.Cilic M.
Serve
57
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
10.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
82
76
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Clear edge
64
41
Deciding sets·Even
96
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Cilic M.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 88%