Taro Daniel vs Andrey RublevSeville CH Quarter-final

Seville CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#194ATP
1567ELO
1542Clay ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 September 2016
clay
#16ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Daniel T.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Rublev A.
Daniel T.
4662
Rublev A.
6321

Taro Daniel defeated Andrey Rublev 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the Seville CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 3–1, but Taro Daniel had been the form player, winning 7 of their last 8 on clay. Taro Daniel narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayAndrey Rublev6-2 6-7(3) 6-3 7-5
2022-04-18BelgradeQFhardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-3
2019-03-18Miami MastersR128hardAndrey Rublev3-6 6-3 6-4
2017-05-29Roland GarrosQ3clayTaro Daniel7-5 6-7(1) 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Daniel T.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Daniel T.Rublev A.
Serve
13
Return
64

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
100
Break points won·Dominant
37
72
Deciding sets·Dominant
18
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
100

Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 83 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast