Nicolas Almagro vs Pablo Carreno BustaEstoril Final

Estoril · ATP · Final
40 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 April 2016
clay
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Almagro N.
6-7 7-6 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Almagro N.
667762
Carreno Busta P.
786531

Nicolas Almagro defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-7 7-6 6-3 in the Estoril final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's semi-final. Nicolas Almagro claimed a first win over Pablo Carreno Busta in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2017-05-01EstorilQFclayPablo Carreno Busta6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Almagro N.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Almagro N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
97
Break points won·Dominant
23
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
71
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast