John Millman vs Pablo Carreno BustaMiami Masters Round of 128

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 128
37 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 March 2016
hard
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Millman J.
6-3 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Millman J.
662
Carreno Busta P.
320

John Millman defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 6-2 in the Miami Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's round of 128. John Millman claimed a first win over Pablo Carreno Busta in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-02-02Atp CupRRhardPablo Carreno Busta6-2 6-4
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR128clayPablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-2 7-5
2019-10-14StockholmR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-4 6-3
2016-08-22Winston-SalemSFhardPablo Carreno Busta6-4 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Millman J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Millman J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Millman J.Carreno Busta P.
Serve
21
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
70
78
Break points saved·Even
95
97
Break points won·Even
64
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
70
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
74
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 26 km/hHumidity 40%