Anastasija Sevastova vs Jessica PegulaIndian Wells Qualifying Round 1

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#293WTA
1719ELO
1664Hard ELO
36 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2016
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Sevastova A.
6-2 6-2
Pegula J.
Sevastova A.
662
Pegula J.
22

Anastasija Sevastova defeated Jessica Pegula 6-2 6-2 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3. Anastasija Sevastova extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27MontrealR32hardAnastasija Sevastova3-6 6-4 6-1
2019-04-01CharlestonR32clayJessica Pegula6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sevastova A.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Sevastova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sevastova A.Pegula J.
Serve
68
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
66
96
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
96
Break points won·Slight edge
89
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
74
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
64
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast