Laura Siegemund vs Naomi OsakaIndian Wells Qualifying Round 2

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#87WTA
1769ELO
1713Hard ELO
$736kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
38 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2016
hard
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Siegemund L.
6-2 6-3
Osaka N.
Siegemund L.
662
Osaka N.
23

Laura Siegemund defeated Naomi Osaka 6-2 6-3 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Laura Siegemund narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayNaomi Osaka3-6 6.3-7.7
2018-08-27US OpenR128hardNaomi Osaka6-3 6-2
2018-04-02CharlestonR32clayNaomi Osaka6-3 7-6(8)
2017-05-15RomeR64clayLaura Siegemund6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Siegemund L.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Siegemund L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siegemund L.Osaka N.
11
Serve
70
46
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
57%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
60%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.8
6.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 196). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
64
91
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
96
Break points won·Slight edge
89
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
85

Siegemund L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Osaka N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast