Joao Sousa defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 4-6 6-2 6-3 in the Umag semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Roberto Bautista Agut came in leading the head-to-head 4–2, but Joao Sousa had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 5 on clay. Joao Sousa narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-3 6-2 6-2 |
| 2019-07-22 | Gstaad | QF | clay | Joao Sousa | 4-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2018-10-22 | Basel | R32 | hard | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2016-09-19 | St. Petersburg | QF | carpet | Roberto Bautista Agut | 4-6 6-1 6-2 |
| 2016-02-08 | Rotterdam | R32 | hard | Roberto Bautista Agut | 7-6(4) 1-6 6-3 |
| 2015-10-26 | Valencia | F | hard | Joao Sousa | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Bautista Agut R.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About