Nick Kyrgios vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Estoril Semi-final

Estoril · ATP · Semi-final
AUS7
Nick Kyrgios
#905ATP
31 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 April 2015
clay
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Kyrgios N.
5-7 7-6 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Kyrgios N.
57762
Carreno Busta P.
76231

Nick Kyrgios defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 5-7 7-6 6-3 in the Estoril semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65, defending last year's round of 16. Nick Kyrgios extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-13HalleQFgrassNick Kyrgios6-4 6-2
2016-01-18Australian OpenR128hardNick Kyrgios6-2 7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kyrgios N.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kyrgios N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kyrgios N.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.2
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kyrgios N.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Slight edge
68
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
80
Tiebreaks·Even
98
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Kyrgios N.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·
—
92

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Gasquet R.[5]
Kyrgios N.[7]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Kyrgios N.[7]
Carreno Busta P.
5-77-626-3
Gasquet R.[5]
Garcia Lopez G.
3-66-27-61
Quarter-finals
Gasquet R.[5]
Almagro N.
6-17-64
Kyrgios N.[7]
Haase R.
6-36-4
Garcia Lopez G.
Coric B.
6-37-64
Carreno Busta P.
Muller G.[8]
6-26-4
R16
Haase R.
Lopez F.[1]
4-67-626-4
Kyrgios N.[7]
Krajinovic F.
6-36-3
Carreno Busta P.
Vega Hernandez D.
6-16-2
Muller G.[8]
Montanes A.
4-66-37-67
Gasquet R.[5]
De Schepper K.
6-26-3
Coric B.
Machado R.
6-45-76-1
Garcia Lopez G.
Anderson K.[2]
6-43-66-1
Almagro N.
Mayer L.[4]
7-646-2
R32
Montanes A.
Fischer M.
6-44-66-3
Carreno Busta P.
Lestienne C.
6-36-1
Gasquet R.[5]
Matosevic M.
7-676-1
De Schepper K.
Elias G.
6-22-66-3
Almagro N.
Robert S.
6-37-64
Coric B.
Chardy J.[6]
6-26-4
Machado R.
Sousa J.
7-656-3
Muller G.[8]
Ferreira Silva F.
6-33-66-1
Garcia Lopez G.
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-2
Haase R.
Berankis R.
6-36-766-4
Kyrgios N.[7]
Ramos A.
6-36-757-63
Krajinovic F.
Gonzalez A.
6-36-3