Maria Kirilenko defeated Kate Makarova 4-6 6-1 7-6 in the US Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kate Makarova came in leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 128, but Maria Kirilenko had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 6 on hard. Maria Kirilenko narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-10-01 | Beijing | R64 | hard | Kate Makarova | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2012-05-07 | Madrid | R32 | clay | Kate Makarova | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2009-05-04 | Estoril | QF | clay | Kate Makarova | 5-7 6-2 6-2 |
| 2008-02-18 | Doha | R64 | hard | Maria Kirilenko | 6-3 5-7 6-0 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (152 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About