Marcos Baghdatis defeated Rafael Nadal 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 9–0, defending last year's semi-final. Marcos Baghdatis claimed a first win over Rafael Nadal in ten meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 9–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-01-16 | Australian Open | R64 | hard | Rafael Nadal | 6-3 6-1 6-3 |
| 2015-06-08 | Stuttgart | R16 | grass | Rafael Nadal | 7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-2 |
| 2011-05-01 | Madrid Masters | R32 | clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2009-10-05 | Beijing | R32 | hard | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 3-6 6-4 |
| 2007-10-28 | Paris Masters | SF | hard | Rafael Nadal | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2007-10-15 | Madrid Masters | R32 | clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2007-02-26 | Dubai | R32 | hard | Rafael Nadal | 3-6 6-2 6-3 |
| 2006-06-26 | Wimbledon | SF | grass | Rafael Nadal | 6-1 7-5 6-3 |
| 2006-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | QF | hard | Rafael Nadal | 7-5 6-0 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About