Ernests Gulbis defeated Roger Federer 2-6 6-1 7-5 in the Rome Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Roger Federer came in leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's semi-final. Ernests Gulbis narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-06-15 | Halle | R16 | grass | Roger Federer | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2014-05-26 | Roland Garros | R16 | clay | Ernests Gulbis | 6-7(5) 7-6(3) 6-2 4-6 6-3 |
| 2010-05-09 | Madrid Masters | QF | clay | Roger Federer | 3-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2010-01-04 | Doha | QF | hard | Roger Federer | 6-2 4-6 6-4 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About