
Marin Cilic defeated Rafael Nadal 6-1 6-3 in the Beijing semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 7–1. Marin Cilic narrowed the head-to-head to 7–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-08-26 | US Open | R16 | hard | Rafael Nadal | 6-3 3-6 6-1 6-2 |
| 2018-08-06 | Canada Masters | QF | hard | Rafael Nadal | 2-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2018-01-15 | Australian Open | QF | hard | Marin Cilic | 3-6 6-3 6-7(5) 6-2 2-0 RET |
| 2017-10-09 | Shanghai Masters | SF | hard | Rafael Nadal | 7-5 7-6(3) |
| 2017-02-27 | Acapulco | SF | hard | Rafael Nadal | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2015-10-26 | Basel | QF | hard | Rafael Nadal | 4-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2011-05-08 | Rome Masters | QF | clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2011-01-17 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Rafael Nadal | 6-2 6-4 6-3 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.