Roger Federer defeated Rafael Nadal 2-6 6-2 6-0 in the Hamburg final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 7–3. Roger Federer narrowed the head-to-head to 7–4.
Federer R. came through in three sets.
Federer R. and Nadal R. faced 20 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Federer R. went 27–2 (93%) against them, Nadal R. 23–7 (77%). Federer R. came out better against 6 of 19 comparable opponents, Nadal R. against 2 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement, lower-tier event).
Clay: Nadal R. leads 5–1 · Hard: level 2–2 · Grass: Federer R. leads 1–0
Roger Federer beat Rafael Nadal 2-6 6-2 6-0. Umpiry, "Roger Federer vs Rafael Nadal — Hamburg Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2007-05-20/federer-vs-nadal-hamburg-f?utm_source=cite (as of 20 May 2007).