Rafael Nadal defeated Nikolay Davydenko 7-6 6-7 6-4 in the Rome Masters semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Nikolay Davydenko came in leading the head-to-head 6–4, defending last year's round of 16, but Rafael Nadal had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay. Rafael Nadal narrowed the head-to-head to 6–5.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-05-06 | Madrid Masters | R32 | clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2011-01-03 | Doha | SF | hard | Nikolay Davydenko | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2010-01-04 | Doha | F | hard | Nikolay Davydenko | 0-6 7-6(8) 6-4 |
| 2009-11-22 | Tour Finals | RR | hard | Nikolay Davydenko | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2009-10-11 | Shanghai Masters | F | hard | Nikolay Davydenko | 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2009-04-20 | Barcelona | SF | clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2008-10-26 | Paris Masters | QF | hard | Nikolay Davydenko | 6-1 RET |
| 2008-04-20 | Monte Carlo Masters | SF | clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2008-03-27 | Miami Masters | F | hard | Nikolay Davydenko | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2006-11-13 | Masters Cup | RR | hard | Rafael Nadal | 5-7 6-4 6-4 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About