Marcos Baghdatis defeated Jarkko Nieminen 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Marseille semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jarkko Nieminen came in leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 32, but Marcos Baghdatis had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 6 on hard. Marcos Baghdatis narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-09-18 | Davis Cup G2 R3: FIN vs CYP | RR | carpet | Marcos Baghdatis | 7-5 6-3 3-6 6-4 |
| 2009-01-04 | Brisbane | R32 | hard | Jarkko Nieminen | 5-7 6-1 6-4 |
| 2007-10-22 | Basel | SF | hard | Jarkko Nieminen | 7-6(4) 6-2 |
| 2007-04-06 | Davis Cup G2 R1: CYP vs FIN | RR | clay | Marcos Baghdatis | 6-2 6-4 6-3 |
| 2006-01-09 | Auckland | R32 | hard | Jarkko Nieminen | 6-2 6-2 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About