Juan Carlos Ferrero defeated Rafael Nadal 7-6 7-6 in the Cincinnati Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 7–1, defending last year's round of 64. Juan Carlos Ferrero narrowed the head-to-head to 7–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010-04-11 | Monte Carlo Masters | QF | clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2008-05-05 | Rome Masters | R32 | clay | Juan Carlos Ferrero | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2008-04-20 | Monte Carlo Masters | R16 | clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2007-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | R16 | hard | Rafael Nadal | 6-1 6-1 |
| 2005-09-12 | Beijing | SF | hard | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2005-07-04 | Bastad | QF | clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2005-04-18 | Barcelona | F | clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-1 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2005-04-04 | Valencia | R32 | hard | Rafael Nadal | 6-2 6-1 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About