Jarkko Nieminen defeated Nicolas Mahut 6-2 6-4 7-5 in the US Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Nicolas Mahut came in leading the head-to-head 2–1. Jarkko Nieminen narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008-09-22 | Bangkok | R16 | hard | Nicolas Mahut | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2007-02-12 | Marseille | R16 | hard | Jarkko Nieminen | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2003-10-27 | Paris Masters | R64 | hard | Nicolas Mahut | 4-6 6-4 7-5 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About